Saturday 24 May 2014

Number 10, Indeed

At the end of it all, UKIP has precisely one more Councillor than the Greens, and still has precisely one fewer MP. The Greens took 45 per cent of the vote in Bristol. They control a council, whereas UKIP does not, anywhere.

91.6 per cent of the seats contested on Thursday were not won by UKIP. Labour's publicly declared target was to take 200 seats, and it smashed that out of the park.

The Conservatives lost their flagship London Borough of Hammersmith and Fulham straight to Labour, which even picked up four seats next door in Kensington and Chelsea, as well as now holding all of the seats in Chipping Norton.

The four Labour Councillors in Barking and Dagenham who had defected to UKIP all lost their seats.

Suzanne Evans of Question Time lost her seat, and she then attributed that to the better education and media-savviness of her London electors (or non-electors), too clever to vote for her.

But in fact, UKIP did not do terribly well anywhere, by no means only in large cities, and it did pitifully almost everywhere.

And so on.

After which, Lord Ashcroft's huge poll of Conservative-Labour and Labour-Conservative marginals today shows that, in the constituencies that will determine the next General Election, Labour has a 10-point lead, putting it on course for an overall majority larger than in 2005, and quite possibly in triple figures.

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